On Monday, the Vikings placed Adam Thielen on the Reserve/COVID-19 list. Hopefully, it was just precaution and Thielen is fine -- we haven't even heard yet that he actually tested positive, so there's a chance he could play in Week 12 if it's just a contact tracing sitution. But for now, we're projecting Thielen out, which means an increased target share (and attention) for Justin Jefferson.
In a year where rookie receivers have dominated, Jefferson has arguably been the best of the bunch. His 848 receiving yards not only leads rookies, but is sixth in the NFL. That he's done this much with only 59 total targets on the season is even more impressive. His 14.4 yards per target is as obscene as it is unsustainable.
But it's not regression that would give you pause about Jefferson this week, it's defensive attention. We've seen it with JuJu Smith-Schuster and Calvin Ridley over the past two years; it's difficult to maintain the same efficiency when the alpha No. 1 on your team is out.
That being said, I've dinged Jefferson's projected efficiency by 10% and even that isn't enough to keep him out of the top-15 wide receivers in Week 12. The Panthers aren't the type of matchup you shy away from and, frankly, it may be Jefferson who is turning into the alpha No. 1 in Minnesota.
More Week 12 help: Waiver Wire | Trade Values Chart | Cut List | QB Preview | RB Preview | Week 11 Winners and Losers | Believe It Or Not
Week 12 WR Preview
Who's Out
The following players are being projected as out for Week 12:
Numbers to Know
- 10 - Chase Claypool has scored 10 touchdowns on 48 touches.
- 17.6% -- Chris Godwin's target share since Antonio Brown arrived in Tampa Bay.
- 158 -- Ryan Finley averaged 158 yards passing in three starts last year.
- 14.7% -- Mecole Hardman's drop rate, the worst in the NFL.
- 42.21% -- Adam Thielen is responsible for 42.21% of the Vikings air yards, the second-highest mark in the league.
- 84.48% -- Curtis Samuel's catch rate, No. 1 among wide receivers.
- 127 -- Yards for D.J. Moore in P.J. Walker's first start, a season high.
- 11.7 -- Corey Davis has scored at least 11.7 PPR points in every game but one this season.
Matchups that matter
Waiver Wire Targets
DFS Plays
Heath's Projections
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November 25, 2020 at 01:32AM
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Fantasy Football Week 12 Wide Receiver Preview: Waiver wire adds, projections, DFS plays, and more - CBS Sports
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