Waiver Wire Targets: Week 2
Besides Tyler Naquin, no widely available players are generating the buzz for 10% or higher bids. There could be some players who slipped through the cracks last week like Nate Lowe who could go for high in a single league. Overall, it’s a week to save a little money and make some calculated adds.
In the following article, I’m going to at least cover the players in demand using CBS’s (40% or less initial ownership) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters.
Hitters
-
- Cedric Mullins: He’s playing every day and hitting so far (.448/.484/.655) but with just 1 RBI from a home run.
- Nate Lowe: He’s cooled down a bit but still has a .953 OPS.
- Manuel Margot: With Kevin Kiermaier out, Margot is the Rays lone center fielder.
- Bryan Reynolds: Steady contributor but his strikeouts are up again (22% to 27% to 30%).
- Jonathan India: Pitchers are challenging him (72% First Strike%, 58% Zone%) and while not with a ton of power (110 Max EV), he’s generating hits (.400 AVG).
- Michael A. Taylor: He’s got 20/20 potential with a full-time job. He could move higher if the strikeout rate (17% K%) stays down.
- Tyler Naquin: Of all these rankings, this one could look the worst at the season’s end. Or even the end of the month. His OPS is more than twice what it was last year (1.444 vs .632).
- Luis Arraez: Has been leading off against right-handed starters and should be getting third base elligibility sone (4 games). Also he’s hitting 1.033 OPS.
- Randal Grichuk: He’s tough to rank. I love his short-term value with Springer hurt and Tellez not hitting. I just worry he could end up back in a part-time role.
- Colin Moran: He is having a decent start to the season (.280/.379/.600) so far in Pittsburgh.
- Travis Shaw: He’s playing full-time and hitting (.316/.350/.526)
- Akil Baddoo: While he’s hit great (1.429 OPS), it has been just 14 PA.
- Yermín Mercedes: A .591 BABIP in 29 career MLB plate appearances.
- Kyle Isbel: I’m a fan but I’m a little worried about his playing time once Raul Mondesi returns from the IL. The 48% K% is a little disturbing.
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa: He’s quailified at two positions and can steal a few bases. That’s about it.
- Ha-seong Kim 김하성: With Tatis out for while, Kim has taken over the shortstop duties for San Diego.
- Garrett Hampson: Four steals with a .667 OPS (all but one game in Denver).
- Jazz Chisholm: Two steals so far but could be a drain in AVG leagues (.176 AVG vs .318 OBP).
- Joey Wendle: Continues to provide some batting average help and is playing a decent amount of the time (five of seven games).
- Asdrúbal Cabrera and Marwin Gonzalez: They are hitting OK and qualified at a few positions.
- Phillip Evans: He’s now hitting the ball hard (12% Barrel%) with improving plate discipline (Career 20% K%, 10% in 2021).
- Andrelton Simmons: On fire (.450/.577/.600).
- Donovan Solano: 0% BB%, 30% K%, .474 BABIP. He’s nice and shiny for now.
- Miguel Rojas: The light-hitting shortstop has already stolen a couple of bases.
- Jurickson Profar: He’s playing but doing nothing special.
- Yandy Díaz: He’s getting a little more air under the ball (44% GB% in 2021, 55% in his career) but it’s not showing up in the results (.091 ISO).
- David Dahl: 1 RBI in 28 PA.
- Garrett Cooper: Replacement level first baseman.
- Evan Longoria: The replacement level third baseman.
- Willians Astudillo: He’s hitting (1.128 OPS) and playing everywhere (catcher, second base, third base).
- Omar Narváez, Pedro Severino, Max Stassi, Wilson Ramos, Tucker Barnhart, Tyler Stephenson, Dom Nunez, Jose Trevino, Victor Caratini: Replacement level catchers.
- Adam Frazier: A replacement level outfielder and second baseman all rolled into one.
- Maikel Franco: Not hitting this season (.483 OPS) to continue a career-long tradition.
- Josh Fuentes: Questionable talent with a 35% K% and .538 OPS after several games in Colorado.
- Zach McKinstry: Has started five of eight games with the Dodgers dealing with a couple of injuries. He’s an AVG only hitter with maybe 10 HR upside.
- Nomar Mazara: Why is he being added?
- Chris Owings: On the IL (thumb).
- Nolan Jones: Jones should see time in the majors soon.
- Jo Adell: I think he’ll need to hit in AAA before the team calls him up again.
- Julio Rodriguez, CJ Abrams, Jasson Dominguez, Marco Luciano, Spencer Torkelson, J.J. Bleday, and Riley Greene : They are just too far away to be a re-draft option.
CBS Hitter Ownership Changes
| Name | Previous Own% | Current Own% | Jump |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe 1B TEX | 22% | 72% | 50% |
| Yermin Mercedes DH CHW | 5% | 69% | 64% |
| Jonathan India 2B CIN | 35% | 68% | 33% |
| Garrett Hampson CF COL | 37% | 60% | 23% |
| Akil Baddoo LF DET | 10% | 60% | 50% |
| Manuel Margot CF TB | 39% | 53% | 14% |
| Omar Narvaez C MIL | 37% | 51% | 14% |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS TEX | 22% | 48% | 26% |
| David Dahl LF TEX | 39% | 46% | 7% |
| Evan Longoria 3B SF | 21% | 44% | 23% |
| Michael Taylor CF KC | 13% | 44% | 31% |
| Miguel Rojas SS MIA | 38% | 43% | 5% |
| Jazz Chisholm 2B MIA | 34% | 42% | 8% |
| Tyler Naquin LF CIN | 1% | 41% | 40% |
| Randal Grichuk CF TOR | 29% | 40% | 11% |
| Luis Arraez 3B MIN | 26% | 40% | 14% |
| Ha-seong Kim SS SD | 33% | 39% | 6% |
| Bryan Reynolds LF PIT | 35% | 36% | 1% |
| Cedric Mullins CF BAL | 7% | 35% | 28% |
| Spencer Torkelson 3B DET | 32% | 33% | 1% |
| Andrelton Simmons SS MIN | 16% | 32% | 16% |
| Jo Adell RF LAA | 30% | 31% | 1% |
| Julio Rodriguez RF SEA | 30% | 31% | 1% |
| Pedro Severino C BAL | 30% | 31% | 1% |
| Max Stassi C LAA | 27% | 29% | 2% |
| Wilson Ramos C DET | 27% | 29% | 2% |
| Joey Wendle 3B TB | 17% | 29% | 12% |
| Colin Moran 1B PIT | 18% | 28% | 10% |
| Maikel Franco 3B BAL | 26% | 27% | 1% |
| C.J. Abrams SS SD | 22% | 23% | 1% |
| Jasson Dominguez CF NYY | 20% | 21% | 1% |
| Adam Frazier 2B PIT | 20% | 21% | 1% |
| Donovan Solano 2B SF | 12% | 21% | 9% |
| Garrett Cooper RF MIA | 19% | 20% | 1% |
| Marco Luciano SS SF | 19% | 20% | 1% |
| Jurickson Profar LF SD | 17% | 20% | 3% |
| Kyle Isbel RF KC | 10% | 20% | 10% |
| Josh Fuentes 3B COL | 18% | 19% | 1% |
| J.J. Bleday RF MIA | 16% | 17% | 1% |
| Riley Greene RF DET | 14% | 15% | 1% |
| Nolan Jones 3B CLE | 13% | 14% | 1% |
| Willians Astudillo 3B MIN | 11% | 13% | 2% |
| Tucker Barnhart C CIN | 8% | 13% | 5% |
| Asdrubal Cabrera 3B ARI | 7% | 11% | 4% |
| Chris Owings 2B COL | 4% | 11% | 7% |
| Tyler Stephenson C CIN | 7% | 10% | 3% |
| Marwin Gonzalez 1B BOS | 7% | 9% | 2% |
| Yandy Diaz 1B TB | 7% | 9% | 2% |
| Dom Nunez C COL | 6% | 9% | 3% |
| Nomar Mazara RF DET | 5% | 9% | 4% |
| Jose Trevino C TEX | 6% | 8% | 2% |
| Travis Shaw 3B MIL | 5% | 8% | 3% |
| Victor Caratini C SD | 5% | 7% | 2% |
| Zach McKinstry RF LAD | 2% | 7% | 5% |
| Phillip Evans 3B PIT | 1% | 5% | 4% |
Starters
-
- Dane Dunning: He relies on his fastball a little too much for me (77%) but a must-add on all leagues.
- Matt Shoemaker: With a career 3.83 ERA, start him until he breaks.
- J.A. Happ: A boring consistent play who will be helped from the deadened ball.
- Nick Pivetta: I feel like I’ve made this call before, but he seems to be a different pitcher with Boston.
- Alex Cobb: An acceptably boring production. And he’s out of Baltimore.
- Johnny Cueto: I’m surprised by my rankings but he’s got the walks back under control (2.5 BB/9).
- Chris Flexen 플렉센: His first start was good after coming back from the KBO. I just wish he wasn’t part of the Mariners six-man rotation.
- Wade Miley: He’s been decent in two of the last three seasons and is off to nice start this season.
- Adrian Houser: Another pitcher who is sucking me back in. It’s tough to allow too many runs with a ~60% GB%.
- Jeff Hoffman: Out of Colorado and added a slider (19% SwStr%).
- Adrian Morejon: In the Padres rotation with a decent career strikeout rate (10.3 K/9) but gives up a ton of home runs (2.9 HR/9).
- Adbert Alzolay: Struggled with homers and walks in his first start. Bench, for now, to see if he rebounds.
- José De León: He kept the walks under control (3.6 BB/9, 6.8 BB/9 for his career).
- Jordan Lyles: Some interesting changes with a faster fastball and dropping a curve for a slider. Waiting for start #2.
- Huascar Ynoa: A 96-mph fastball and 53% GB%. I’m intrigued.
- Jakob Junis: He’s added a cutter and has looked great so far this season (0.00 ERA. 0.71 WHIP).
- Matt Harvey: This ranking feels weird but he’s throwing strikes (1.9 BB/9) and generating groundballs (55% GB%).
- Tyler Anderson: He’s throwing fewer fastballs (47% to 41%) and throwing his cutter more. His swinging-strike rate is at 18%
- JT Brubaker: I’m not sure he’s a good pitcher but I know the ones I ranked below him aren’t.
- Trevor Williams: He just does what he does which isn’t bad or good.
- David Peterson: The long ball has hurt him this year (4.5 HR/9), but still a boring consistent play.
- Taylor Widener: The results have been good so far (2.45 ERA, 1.18 WHIP), but I’m not sold him being a good or even average pitcher.
- Daniel Ponce de Leon: OK so far. The key for a breakout will be keeping the walk low.
- Bruce Zimmermann: Decent streaming option when the match-up warrants it.
- Jon Gray: The strikeouts are back (9.3 K/9 vs 5.1 K/9) and he’s avoided the home run.
- Aaron Sanchez: I expect a ton of love going into a two-start week, but with his fastball down 3 mph, I’m a little leery.
- Nick Neidert: I’m not sure who he is but he’s struggled in the majors the last two seasons with a strikeout and walk rate at 5.0.
- Danny Duffy: I can barely recommend a pitcher with a 4.68 ERA from 2018 to 2020.
- Anthony DeSclafani: He’s just walking too many batters compared to his strikeouts.
- Logan Gilbert, Matt Manning, Josiah Gray: Prospect who will likely to be called up this season.
- Chase Anderson: Maybe I will recommend streaming him at some point. Just not now.
- Tanner Roark: He had a good season back in 2016.
- John Gant: Two start week versus Strasburg and Nola. Pass.
- Michael Lorenzen: On IL, shoulder.
- Julio Teheran: On IL, shoulder.
- Luke Weaver: 2019 looks to be his career-best season. A career 4.72 ERA says it all.
- Daniel Lynch, Grayson Rodriguez, Alek Manoah, and Jared Shuster: A prospect with a slim chance to be called up this season.
- Mike Clevinger and Justin Verlander: Hurt and out for the 2021 season.
CBS Starter Ownership Changes
| Name | Previous Own% | Current Own% | Jump |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Shoemaker SP MIN | 36% | 55% | 19% |
| J.A. Happ SP MIN | 31% | 36% | 5% |
| David Peterson SP NYM | 31% | 35% | 4% |
| Dane Dunning SP TEX | 23% | 34% | 11% |
| Adbert Alzolay SP CHC | 23% | 29% | 6% |
| Jon Gray SP COL | 15% | 29% | 14% |
| Trevor Williams SP CHC | 16% | 27% | 11% |
| Wade Miley SP CIN | 6% | 27% | 21% |
| Logan Gilbert RP SEA | 24% | 26% | 2% |
| Johnny Cueto SP SF | 18% | 26% | 8% |
| Matt Manning SP DET | 23% | 24% | 1% |
| Taylor Widener SP ARI | 6% | 24% | 18% |
| Mike Clevinger SP SD | 21% | 22% | 1% |
| Danny Duffy SP KC | 7% | 19% | 12% |
| Justin Verlander SP HOU | 16% | 17% | 1% |
| Adrian Morejon SP SD | 13% | 17% | 4% |
| Adrian Morejon SP SD | 13% | 17% | 4% |
| Chris Flexen RP SEA | 4% | 17% | 13% |
| Anthony DeSclafani SP SF | 12% | 15% | 3% |
| Daniel Lynch RP KC | 13% | 14% | 1% |
| Grayson Rodriguez RP BAL | 13% | 14% | 1% |
| Luke Weaver SP ARI | 13% | 14% | 1% |
| Nick Pivetta SP BOS | 9% | 13% | 4% |
| Alek Manoah SP TOR | 11% | 12% | 1% |
| Josiah Gray RP LAD | 10% | 11% | 1% |
| Michael Lorenzen RP CIN | 10% | 11% | 1% |
| Julio Teheran SP DET | 7% | 11% | 4% |
| Adrian Houser SP MIL | 8% | 9% | 1% |
| Aaron Sanchez SP SF | 5% | 8% | 3% |
| Daniel Ponce de Leon SP STL | 4% | 7% | 3% |
| Alex Cobb SP LAA | 4% | 7% | 3% |
| Bruce Zimmermann SP BAL | 3% | 7% | 4% |
| Jake Junis RP KC | 1% | 7% | 6% |
| Huascar Ynoa SP ATL | 1% | 7% | 6% |
| J.T. Brubaker SP PIT | 5% | 6% | 1% |
| Jordan Lyles SP TEX | 2% | 6% | 4% |
| Jeff Hoffman SP CIN | 1% | 6% | 5% |
| Matt Harvey SP BAL | 3% | 4% | 1% |
| Chase Anderson SP PHI | 3% | 4% | 1% |
| Tanner Roark SP TOR | 3% | 4% | 1% |
| Tyler Anderson SP PIT | 2% | 3% | 1% |
| Jared Shuster SP ATL | 2% | 3% | 1% |
| Nick Neidert SP MIA | 2% | 3% | 1% |
| Brandon Bielak RP HOU | 1% | 3% | 2% |
Closers: Ranked of potential for accumulating Saves over the entire season
- Yimi Garcia: Likely has the closer’s job with some talent
- Julian Merryweather: Sharing the closer’s job with amazing talent
- Cesar Valdez: Likely has the closer’s job with some talent
- Ian Kennedy: Likely has the closer’s job with some talent
- Stefan Crichton: Part of a closer committee
- Jake Diekman: Part of a closer committee
- Corey Knebel: Next inline for a struggling closer
- Lou Trivino: Part of a closer committee
- Sergio Romo: Part of a closer committee
- Emmanuel Clase: Part of a closer committee
- Kevin Ginkel: Part of a closer committee
- Gregory Soto: Part of a closer committee
- Bryan Garcia: Part of a closer committee
- Kendall Graveman: Next inline for a struggling closer
- Jesse Hahn: Part of a closer committee
- Sean Doolittle: Maybe the next in line for two struggling closers
- Wade Davis: Possibly part of a closer committee
- Giovanny Gallegos: Good closer next inline for Saves
- Garrett Crochet: Good closer next inline for Saves
- Jose Alvarado: Good closer next inline for Saves
- Chad Green: Good closer next inline for Saves
- Mike Mayers: Good closer next inline for Saves
CBS Starter Ownership Changes
| Name | Previous Own% | Current Own% | Jump |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather RP TOR | 8% | 67% | 59% |
| Ian Kennedy RP TEX | 33% | 44% | 11% |
| Cesar Valdez RP BAL | 7% | 43% | 36% |
| Giovanny Gallegos RP STL | 35% | 37% | 2% |
| Gregory Soto RP DET | 34% | 35% | 1% |
| Jake Diekman RP OAK | 28% | 29% | 1% |
| Lucas Sims RP CIN | 25% | 27% | 2% |
| Emmanuel Clase RP CLE | 17% | 26% | 9% |
| Luis Patino RP TB | 19% | 20% | 1% |
| Garrett Crochet RP CHW | 18% | 20% | 2% |
| Corey Knebel RP LAD | 3% | 20% | 17% |
| Yimi Garcia RP MIA | 16% | 18% | 2% |
| Chad Green RP NYY | 16% | 17% | 1% |
| Jose Alvarado RP PHI | 12% | 14% | 2% |
| Daniel Hudson RP WAS | 12% | 14% | 2% |
| Lou Trivino RP OAK | 1% | 14% | 13% |
| John Gant SP STL | 6% | 12% | 6% |
| Stefan Crichton RP ARI | 9% | 11% | 2% |
| Jose De Leon SP CIN | 5% | 11% | 6% |
| Wade Davis RP KC | 5% | 9% | 4% |
| Bryan Garcia RP DET | 6% | 8% | 2% |
| Ryan Weathers RP SD | 5% | 7% | 2% |
| Jonathan Loaisiga RP NYY | 4% | 7% | 3% |
| Mike Mayers RP LAA | 4% | 7% | 3% |
| Keone Kela RP SD | 5% | 6% | 1% |
| Scott Barlow RP KC | 4% | 6% | 2% |
| Sean Doolittle RP CIN | 4% | 6% | 2% |
| Sergio Romo RP OAK | 4% | 6% | 2% |
| Chris Devenski RP ARI | 0% | 6% | 6% |
| Chris Rodriguez RP LAA | 4% | 5% | 1% |
| Tyler Rogers RP SF | 3% | 5% | 2% |
| David Bednar RP PIT | 3% | 4% | 1% |
| A.J. Minter RP ATL | 3% | 4% | 1% |
| Connor Brogdon RP PHI | 2% | 4% | 2% |
| Hansel Robles RP MIN | 2% | 3% | 1% |
| Jesse Hahn RP KC | 2% | 3% | 1% |
| Brandon Bielak RP HOU | 1% | 3% | 2% |
| Kendall Graveman RP SEA | 1% | 3% | 2% |
| Kevin Ginkel RP ARI | 1% | 3% | 2% |
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won three FSWA Awards including on for his MASH series. In his first two seasons in Tout Wars, he's won the H2H league and mixed auction league. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
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