When should skepticism about a hot start turn into trust? How much new evidence should you need before you start to buy in? And what's the bigger risk, overreacting to a hot start or underreacting and missing a potential breakout? In April, these are probably the biggest questions Fantasy Baseball players have to account for, especially when it comes to your waiver-wire claims.
There's no right answer, but generally speaking, you should be more inclined to buy into a hot start from a player who has made a tangible change to his game. And there may not be a more tangible one so far than the change Cedric Mullins has made: He abandoned switch hitting, and it seems to have turned him into a much better hitter.
Mullins hit just .225/.290/.342 in 418 plate appearances across his first three seasons, but he was especially hopeless from the right side of the plate. He hit .147/.250/.189 as a right-handed batting facing left-handed pitching -- that's pitcher production, essentially. He decided to bat only from the left side this season and, after his two-homer game Monday against the Yankees, is hitting .365/.419/.576 for the season with two steals and three homers while batting leadoff for the Orioles. And, given the changes he's made, it makes sense to buy in, at least a little.
To be clear, I'm not expecting Mullins to challenge for a batting title or anything, and he'll surely fall short of this pace. But he's also clearly an improved hitter, one who could be a decent source of batting average -- maybe in the .280 range isn't out of the question. And he could hit, say, 15 homers while stealing 20-plus bases.
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Is Mullins a superstar all of a sudden? No, of course not. But, I'm willing to bet that he can be someone worth starting in all five-outfielder leagues moving forward, and potentially any category-based leagues beyond that. The changes he's made matter, and it's worth buying in.
Here's who else we're looking at on the waiver wire from Monday's action:
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April 27, 2021 at 08:18PM
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Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire: Cedric Mullins, Anthony DeSclafani worth buying into? - CBS Sports
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