The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (NYSE:MSM) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for MSC Industrial Direct
How Much Debt Does MSC Industrial Direct Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that MSC Industrial Direct had US$793.4m in debt in September 2022; about the same as the year before. However, it does have US$43.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$749.9m.
How Healthy Is MSC Industrial Direct's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, MSC Industrial Direct had liabilities of US$725.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$641.2m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$43.5m and US$687.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$636.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Of course, MSC Industrial Direct has a market capitalization of US$4.65b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
MSC Industrial Direct's net debt is only 1.4 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 27.2 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Another good sign is that MSC Industrial Direct has been able to increase its EBIT by 28% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if MSC Industrial Direct can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, MSC Industrial Direct recorded free cash flow worth 58% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
MSC Industrial Direct's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. Looking at the bigger picture, we think MSC Industrial Direct's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - MSC Industrial Direct has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
What are the risks and opportunities for MSC Industrial Direct?
MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc., together with its subsidiaries, distributes metalworking and maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products and services in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and the United Kingdom.
Rewards
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Price-To-Earnings ratio (13.7x) is below the US market (14.4x)
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Earnings are forecast to grow 6.94% per year
Risks
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Significant insider selling over the past 3 months
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Has a high level of debt
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Does MSC Industrial Direct (NYSE:MSM) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet? - Simply Wall St
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