Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat
| 7:29 |
: I hope all is well
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| 7:30 |
: Here are this week’s 15-team mixed team bids from Tout Wars
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| 7:30 |
: Name: Total
AMills: 215 SSanchez: 121 EHernandez: 120 ACobb: 87 GHolland: 69 EHernandez: 65 JLester: 59 ZPlesac: 59 CMize: 42 ABass: 36 TWolters: 33 TWilliams: 32 KWright: 28 CRodon: 28 KGraveman: 25 ODrake: 22 KPillar: 17 EOlivares: 17 THeineman: 11 JBradley: 3 RMcGuire: 2 LGarcia: 2 JIglesias: 1 JRomano: 0 |
| 7:31 |
: Those were from the auction league
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| 7:31 |
: These are from the draft league
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| 7:31 |
: Name: Total
GHolland: 216 ABass: 180 EHernandez: 138 TGott: 136 BSinger: 120 EHernandez: 83 MAdams: 75 ODrake: 69 ZEflin: 60 FCervelli: 60 WFlores: 50 FValdez: 37 RDolis: 11 TWilliams: 8 HAlberto: 6 RDobnak: 5 MWacha: 4 MRojas: 3 AGordon: 2 |
| 7:32 |
: Daniel Hudson looking like Nationals closer?
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| 7:32 |
: I think he always has been
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| 7:33 |
: Romano was getting some hype on the Jays pen, worth a look especially in a holds league? Bass seems a journeyman and Dolis has been hit around …
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| 7:34 |
: I tried to handicap the situation and came to the following conclusion. Small bids on all three and end up with the last choice.
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| 7:34 |
: I think it’s a situation where someone is going to spend way too much.
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| 7:34 |
: More worried about Ohtani or Paxton, going forward?
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| 7:35 |
: Paxton for sure. He was not right according to the team before the season started
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| 7:35 |
: Any ideas on deep deep league Catchers??? Need Covid fillers and don’t really feel like dropping more then a 1$ on a Wolter with two game early or Reese or just blah plus I know atleast 2 are getting grabbed
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| 7:36 |
: You could work in Austin Nola who has been catching and one game from qualifying
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| 7:37 |
: Romine as 7 games this next week with 4 vs KC
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| 7:37 |
: Could you rank these for me: Arrieta (vs Yanks and Toronto), Nola (1 start vs yanks, not Cole), Tyler Mahle (Cubs and Tigers), good middle reliever (lugo or Pagan)
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| 7:38 |
: First, give the guys at Razz some $$ and their streaming projections could help rank them: https://razzball.com/streamers/
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| 7:38 |
: I’d go Nola, Mahle, and ……..Arietta
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| 7:38 |
: Burdi the Bucs Closer ?
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| 7:39 |
: It’s tough to argue with 3 K’s in the ninth today
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| 7:39 |
: Whitley the next man up in Houston?
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| 7:39 |
: If he’s ready and healthy.
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| 7:40 |
: They are a mess with a rotation quickly falling apart like the Red Sox’s did.
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| 7:41 |
: Lost Giles and only have Pressley/Leclerc as my current closers. Drop Giles for Holland or Wade Davis?
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| 7:41 |
: Sadly, I’d go with Davis but read up on Giles. Make sure he’s droppable.
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| 7:42 |
: That was not worded the best.
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| 7:42 |
: The time frame on Giles return
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| 7:42 |
: Canning or J Montgomery for last SP spot (not including streamers)
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| 7:42 |
: I’m a Montgomery fan and am worried Canning is still hurt
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| 7:43 |
: Kyle Lewis….more singles or more HRs this year? running a ~50% K rate and ~.600 ISO so far…
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| 7:43 |
: I love small samples
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| 7:43 |
: When do you thin Soto back?
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| 7:44 |
: Two week at least and it could be 5+ weeks as it has taken some other players
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| 7:44 |
: are we trusting yamaguchi as the jays closer? 18 team league and dunno how much to spend
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| 7:45 |
: No … again, this is a mess.
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| 7:45 |
: Thinking of picking up Kyle Lewis, he is a better roto option in a AL only redraft league than Verdugo, Austin Hays, or Justin Upton?
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| 7:46 |
: I would put Lewis at the back of the back but it’s close. If I had to pick one, it would be Verdugo
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| 7:46 |
: Pick one to fill an AL league with OBP: R. Ruiz, R. Tellez, R. Perez, T. Shaw or DJ Stewart? Thank you.
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| 7:46 |
: Shaw
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| 7:47 |
: in a scale from 1 to 10, how confident are you holland establishes himself as the KC closer? Why?
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| 7:47 |
: 2
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| 7:47 |
: Taylor Williams looked ok vs some good hitters. Worth picking up? I only have Giles and N Anderson for saves so I’m hurting.
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| 7:48 |
: No … too many walks
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| 7:49 |
: BTW, I forgot to remind people, I’m going to focus on WW and FAAB questions. The rest I will answer if there is time.
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| 7:49 |
: Obp league: Tellez, Zimmer, Margot.
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| 7:49 |
: Tellez right now
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| 7:49 |
: Al only: please rank Thornton, Singer, Duffy, Sandoval. Thank you!
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| 7:50 |
: Sandoval, Singer, Thorton…………………………..Duffy
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| 7:50 |
: are there any teams you’re targeting for steals similar to last year when everyone had a green light vs the Mets?
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| 7:50 |
: Not any set teams
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| 7:51 |
: Kind of nothing but bad options available for a pickup. I gotta grab someone tonight for the week. You going C Taylor or J Mart?
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| 7:51 |
: J Mart
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| 7:51 |
: Jeff… gotta think Sixto is getting the call up right? In a deep league, is 25% FAAB appropriate?
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| 7:52 |
: I’ll pass for now, I’ll may put in a token 5% bid. I’ve been burnt by too many rookie pitchers
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| 7:52 |
: Have you met Grey Albright? Is he a real person?
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| 7:53 |
: Yes and yes, I just saw him this last March for the LABR auctions.
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| 7:53 |
: Which streamer this week between Patrick Sandoval or Austin Voth do you think could develop the most season long value?
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| 7:54 |
: I like both and would go with Voth. I ranked him high in my Waiver Wire article: https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/waiver-wire-targets-week-1/
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| 7:55 |
: Someone dropped A Meadows. What % of free agent budget would you bid.
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| 7:56 |
: 50%. Just make sure you have the budget to average 3-5 moves a week.
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| 7:56 |
: NL only – need 1 pitcher to pickup: Chi Chi Gonzalez, Cal Quantrill, Wade Miley, Tyler Mahle. I am leaning Mahle. Your thoughts?
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| 7:56 |
: It’s between Miley and Mahle
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| 7:56 |
: Do you see Houser pitching 5+ innings during his starts normally or is Counsell going to use some bullpen shenanigans to limit his win opportunities?
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| 7:57 |
: Houser’s GB% should help to keep his pitch count low. As long as he’s effective, he should go 5 innings
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| 7:57 |
: Are Eduardo Rodriguez and Puig droppable? Santander and Lewis are available. I more need pitching (Giles going down). I also have Lux (got numerous auto drafts🍺🍺)
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| 7:58 |
: Yes on both. I have dropped Puig and ERod is out at least two weeks and needs a ramp up period
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| 7:58 |
: Kolten Wong worthwhile bargain bin 2B? Been hot, leading off, got 24 SB last year.
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| 7:58 |
: I’d love to have someone like Wong on my waiver wire.
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| 7:58 |
: Sure, go ahead and roster him.
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| 7:58 |
: In a QS league is Garrett Richards a better SP option than Corbin Burnes?
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| 7:59 |
: I’d own Burnes …. let me check the game.
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| 8:00 |
: Richards was around 95-96, so interesting. I just don’t trust his health
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| 8:00 |
: Current RPs: Melancon, Doolittle, joe jimenez. Thinking of dropping Doolittle due to velo drop and role questions. Available: kim, burdi, kintzler, hudson, givens, Shane greene (if Melancons back issue continues). Thinking drop doolittle for kim (he at least has job for now) and keep watching all these closer situations. Thoughts?
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| 8:01 |
: Whoa, there are quite a few closers on the wire in your 4 team league. It’s Kim or Hudson for me.
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| 8:01 |
: Dahl or Choo, points league, -1 K. Thanks!
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| 8:02 |
: Likely Choo depending on the scoring system
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| 8:02 |
: What are your thoughts on Spencer Howards’s impact this season?
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| 8:03 |
: I’m not to pay up for rookie starters, so I have no shares. The last rookie pitcher to have a major impact was Jose Fernandez (RIP)
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| 8:03 |
: You starting Pearson vs Nats on Wed if it happens?
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| 8:04 |
: Yep. The lineup without Soto doesn’t worry. The chances for a Win are low since he’s facing Scherzer
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| 8:04 |
: Kwang-hyun Kim or Chris Bassit worth putting a bid on in a 12 team? if so, how much?
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| 8:05 |
: Sure, 5%. I’m dropping around 10%+ per period. I want to keep the pressure on while still having some money for the end.
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| 8:05 |
: Raisel Iglesias just got dropped in my league and I’m not totally confident in my relievers to pick up saves (Nick Anderson, Hansel Robles, Kwang-Hyun Kim). I have the #1 waiver priority in my league and I was planning on sitting on it until a stud gets dropped, is it worth using on Raisel?
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| 8:05 |
: He might be the best you’ll see
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| 8:05 |
: Kim or Gallegos when he comes off IL
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| 8:06 |
: I think as long as Kim is effective, he keeps the job.
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| 8:06 |
: Any thoughts on Mengden? Supposedly changed his mechanics and looked good, but also coming off injury. Will he go 5 innings any time soon?
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| 8:06 |
: Don’t do it. Just see how he does against the Astros who have seen him several times.
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| 8:07 |
: McCutchen, A.Hicks, K Davis. Are either of these three clearly better than the others? Clearly worse?
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| 8:07 |
: Scoring system? I makes a huge difference.
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| 8:07 |
: Please rank these SP in order. Freeland, Graveman, Smyly & F. Valdez. Not much else left in my league. Thanks!
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| 8:08 |
: Smyly, Graveman, Freeland, Valdez.
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| 8:08 |
: Don’t feel bad. I put in a bit for Ivan Nova for a team that lost 5 pitchers.
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| 8:09 |
: In a Net Saves + Holds Roto league (12 Team) should I drop Doolittle and/or Melancon for a non-closer in Tampa, SD or Yankees?
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| 8:10 |
: Not Melancon for now. The best way to find these pitchers, find the ones with the lowest projected ERA and just use them
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| 8:10 |
: Any interest in Dunn or Cobb in Al only?
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| 8:10 |
: They should be both your bench
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| 8:10 |
: Aquino sticks are holding Davidson spot?
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| 8:11 |
: Yes, but he could get cut once the team goes to a 28-man roster.
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| 8:11 |
: Deeep league need a 3B Jose osuna or Ty France better than Berti. Glad your back thanks!!
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| 8:12 |
: Go with Berti for now with all the COVID cases in Miami
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| 8:12 |
: Any concern about Mookie and Bellinger? Studs and all but their season IS 5% over, Bellinger is behind on mediocre fastballs and Mookies contact is garbage. Is my concern about Mookie pressing, Bellinger over-tinkering, an unforgiving short season and 1st round value being unattainable unfounded?
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| 8:12 |
: It’s 4 games. I could care less
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| 8:13 |
: Is Garrett Richards a must own in shallow home leagues (12 tm yahoos)
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| 8:13 |
: No.
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| 8:13 |
: Mike Matheny kill the Royals’ steals? Was way under-aggressive with the Cardinals, who the next year lead the league in SB
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| 8:14 |
: He was actually aggressive with the talent on the team.
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| 8:14 |
: Is it crazy to consider 25% of FAAB on Kike in a 15 teamer where he’s by far the best option on the wire and you’re currently rostering Dubon at MI?
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| 8:15 |
: Maybe but I wouldn’t for him. Kike is not a difference maker and Dubon could be OK
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| 8:15 |
: Any good win vultures in the AL with starters going short? Was thinking Beeks and Richards in TB, but welcome other ideas.
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| 8:16 |
: Petit got one today
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| 8:16 |
: As an owner of Soto and Strasburg, who should I be more worried about this season?
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| 8:16 |
: Strasburg
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| 8:16 |
: Where is the daily closer article with the terrific chart this year? That was invaluable last year.
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| 8:17 |
: We have not been able to hire them back after we can the staff.
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| 8:17 |
: Care to put on some Wooly bully and join the Spencer Turnbull party?
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| 8:17 |
: Turnbull is a good pitcher. He just needs to worry about the flyballs.
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| 8:17 |
: With several MIA hitters now unavailable, how much FAAB would you speculate on Monte Harrison in Standard NL only 10 team roto
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| 8:18 |
: 25%
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| 8:18 |
: I think that’s what it’ll take and there can’t be many options.
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| 8:19 |
: Is it reasonable to drop G Marquez as it seems he is lined up to only pitch at home for the next month?
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| 8:19 |
: No way the Rockies keep the exact rotation.
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| 8:19 |
: For a week, not alone a month.
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| 8:19 |
: I am holding
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| 8:20 |
: Thanks for doing this chat.
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| 8:20 |
: You’re welcome
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| 8:20 |
: Which roster, if either, has surprised you with the pt the first few games, Dodgers or Rays? Roberts starting Joc vs LH and Kike vs RH has confused me.
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| 8:20 |
: I have no clue what the hell the Mets are doing
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| 8:20 |
: Cano is hitting where?
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| 8:21 |
: The top $ getter you posted above is A Mills. Is he a must add?
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| 8:21 |
: Lester and he have two starts against the Reds and Pirates.
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| 8:22 |
: Danny Duffy or Alex Cobb or Spanish Flu?
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| 8:22 |
: Cobb , flu, Duffy
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| 8:22 |
: peraza….where does he end up sticking in the sawx lineup? Not sure if he’s worth a decent FAAB bid if he’s in the back 3rd.
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| 8:23 |
: I feel he has to out hit Benditendi to move up.
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| 8:23 |
: 50% on Austin Meadows means somebody else gets him, right? Somebody will be willing to splurge then stumble along the rest of the year, don’t you think?
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| 8:25 |
: I think a person can do as much as they can and feel they can still make min bids. Meadows’s value is lost if someone is taking a 0 from other lineup spots.
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| 8:25 |
: Carlos Rodon looked ok in Summer Camp. Where does he fit (Al only) compared with other WW arms you’ve discussed?
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| 8:26 |
: I just don’t have a good feeling with him. I could be wrong
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| 8:26 |
: Any thoughts on K. Graveman as cheap flier? He looked great in Summer Camp…..against Seattle hitters.
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| 8:26 |
: He’s added velo and was always a worm killer
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| 8:26 |
: Speculative add in deeper leagues
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| 8:27 |
: After three days of games, are there any surprises as it relates to set-up guys in the AL?
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| 8:28 |
: The Royals and Mariners went to their “closer” earlier in the game. I wonder if some teams treating the season like the playoffs and Saves are going to be even more distributed
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| 8:28 |
: Verlander is on waivers after the injury to I pick him up and store him?
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| 8:29 |
: Yes.
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| 8:30 |
: Also, give the news a day or two to peculate before dropping a top player. I’m sure the owner wants him back with the update news
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| 8:30 |
: With daily moves, do you beed a bench hitter to sub in when others have an off day, or better to use that spot to stream pitchers. Or do you really need a spot for both purposes?
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| 8:31 |
: Those should be the only people on the bench. Try to get every at bat and inning possible but be careful to not go over the limit with subpar talent
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| 8:31 |
: Lauer, 6 Ks in 2.2 innings today. Role change? Buy?
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| 8:31 |
: Not off one start
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| 8:31 |
: Drop Carson Kelly for Caratini?
5×5 roto- 14 teams/ 1 Catcher league… |
| 8:32 |
: Wow, both should be owned
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| 8:32 |
: I think I would
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| 8:32 |
: Sorry everyone, the chat has come to an end. I need to make a final look at all the news before NFBC FAAB runs in under 30 minutes.
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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won three FSWA Awards including on for his MASH series. In his first two seasons in Tout Wars, he's won the H2H league and mixed auction league. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
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